it’s in 2 parts:
is judi going to show up at the oscars?
i think she’ll give it a pass - and not because of her knee (it’s new and seems to work well) or her eyesight (amd hasn’t slowed her down for work) - because 8300 miles is a hell of a long way to go to see someone else get the prize - again.
when the oscars were the only game in town (and the golden globes were just a reason to eat and drink), nominees really didn’t know who was going to take home the prize; but with the proliferation of awards (globes, sag, producers, directors, critics) when one person seems to be anointed early on, then everything falls in line after that.
if (if? ha! when!) cate blanchett wins tonight, i won’t mind but i’d rather judi win.
jasmine is a “big” role with lots of showy touches and she did a fine job in not chewing the scenery but creating a character you feel for. philomena is a “small” role because there’s nothing showy or grand about the character—everything is subtle and internalized. each woman has the talent to play both characters. i want judi to win. i just hope no on thinks she’s a spoilsport for not showing up.